Euro zone inflation expectations unchanged despite growth slowdown: ECB survey By Reuters

© Reuters. Euro zone inflation expectations unchanged despite growth slowdown: ECB survey

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Euro zone prices are expected to continue growing at 1.7 percent per year until 2020 despite weaker underlying inflation and economic growth, a European Central Bank survey showed on Friday.

The ECB confirmed a day earlier plans to wind down its 2.6 trillion euro ($2.96 trillion) stimulus program at the end of this year and raise interest rates sometime after next summer because it still sees inflation holding up despite uncertainties around growth.

Its latest Survey of Professional Forecasters on Friday backed up that line of thought, with unchanged expectations for headline inflation for this year and the next two, at 1.7 percent, and in the longer term at 1.9 percent.

But the forecasters polled by the ECB cut their estimates for core inflation, which strips out the more volatile energy and food prices, and economic growth for this year and the next.

“Respondents typically attributed their revisions to external factors such as higher energy prices weighing on disposable income, with many also noting … some dampening impact on exports and investment due to increased uncertainty surrounding the outlook for world trade,” the ECB said.

The euro zone’s central bank targets a headline inflation rate “below, but close to 2 percent” over the medium term.

In its survey, the ECB also noted that growth in core prices was still accelerating, albeit now 10 basis points more slowly at 1.2 percent this year and 1.5 percent the next.

“The expected pick-up in underlying inflation remained

underpinned by a pick-up in annual growth in compensation per employee, which was expected to increase to 2.3 percent by 2020,” the central bank said.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *